Sunday, May 16, 2010

NBA Playoffs

It's 2AM in Macau and I am blogging in the middle of Sanado Square because I wanted to get my NBA picks on the record before the Conference finals start in a few hours.

According to the all-knowing JJ Stats supercomputer...

Conference Finals Odds:
Orlando beats Boston 74.5% of the time
LA beats Phoenix 82.6% of the time

Odds of winning the ship (Sorry, Suns fans):
Orlando at 57%
LA at 27%
Boston at 13%
Phoenix at 3%

For the second straight year, I have some futures bets on Orlando. They are not as underrated as they were last year (I had a load of Orlando futures last year at 20-1 that were looking pretty sweet til Derek Fisher drove a dagger through my heart), but there is still some value on them right now at +150 to win the championship.

The Conference Finals line versus Boston, however, is more or less efficient at -270, which basically means the Western Conference teams are overrated and that there will be a lot of value betting on Orlando (or for that matter, Boston) should they make the NBA Finals.

As always, gambling advice within these pages is meant for entertainment purposes only.

The NBA night games start at 7AM here and the Sunday afternoon Boston/Orlando game actually starts at 3:30AM. But I might go ahead pull an all nighter at the Wynn poker room (which is about the only place in town I can watch the games at these hours) to watch game one.

Come on Orlando! GOGOGOGO!

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